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Red42
88325.3
615014.6
657019.8
Blue40
2804.4
354220.9
65389.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393502060801001204240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.1
19.019.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End10.5
blue by 1.2
3542
#25
20.90.4
20.420.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Second
6150
#10
14.60.1
12.512.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End4.4
red by 5.5
6538
#31
9.10.7
8.79.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Third
8832
#24
5.30.1
4.84.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 1.0
280
#38
4.40.7
4.55.2
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed