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Red90
714713.8
102342.0
107611.6
Blue21
65389.1
261115.5
82975.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632902040801001201409021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.8
37.239.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.8
End6.8
red by 26.5
2611
#14
15.51.3
16.214.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Second
7147
#11
13.82.4
8.711.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
red by 4.6
6538
#31
9.11.3
7.86.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Third
1076
#23
11.61.8
9.010.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End6.5
red by 5.7
8297
#36
5.91.3
7.66.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed