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Red64
546226.4
65389.1
714713.8
Blue39
43954.4
615014.6
553012.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53290204060801001206439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.9
25.826.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
red by 11.8
6150
#10
14.60.6
14.014.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End4.4
Second
7147
#11
13.81.0
12.413.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
red by 1.3
5530
#20
12.40.6
12.813.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End5.3
Third
6538
#31
9.11.0
8.19.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 4.7
4395
#37
4.40.7
3.74.4
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsEarned