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Red71
889513.9
657019.8
837319.4
Blue46
107611.6
506713.0
504615.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5838020801007146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.0
19.720.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End10.5
red by 4.6
5046
#27
15.20.5
14.715.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End8.7
Second
8373
#12
19.41.1
19.220.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End2.4
red by 6.4
5067
#15
13.00.5
12.413.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End5.3
Third
8895
#30
13.91.1
12.713.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.9
End1.4
red by 2.2
1076
#23
11.60.5
10.811.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned