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Red107
102342.0
353849.0
555910.7
Blue53
354220.9
546226.4
506611.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1175520408010014016018010753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.0
49.149.1
Auto10.7
Teleop25.4
End12.9
red by 22.6
26.40.3
26.626.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
Second
42.00.0
42.042.1
Auto8.3
Teleop26.8
End6.8
red by 21.1
3542
#25
20.90.3
21.220.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Third
5559
#32
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End3.4
blue by 1.1
5066
#19
11.80.4
12.111.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End4.1