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Red40
34529.9
368816.3
9049.8
Blue42
24411.1
91016.5
12547.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362701020405060704042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#14
16.30.8
14.114.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.2
blue by 0.2
910
#9
16.51.7
11.413.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End3.5
Second
3452
#21
9.90.8
10.010.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End4.9
blue by 1.1
244
#18
11.11.0
6.98.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Third
904
#25
9.80.8
8.99.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End3.9
red by 2.8
1254
#28
7.01.7
8.310.0
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed