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Red45
719513.8
362025.9
658810.2
Blue59
598012.3
276735.7
561014.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3648102030406070804559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.0
16.017.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End7.7
blue by 9.7
35.71.2
21.022.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End13.3
Second
7195
#10
13.81.0
9.911.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End5.9
blue by 0.4
5610
#13
14.21.2
9.911.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End5.2
Third
6588
#15
10.21.0
9.610.7
Auto1.5
Teleop3.3
End5.4
blue by 2.1
5980
#20
12.31.2
13.014.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsEarned