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Red30
19409.8
561014.2
61288.6
Blue40
295912.6
553518.9
22617.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274202060803040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5610
#13
14.20.3
10.210.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End5.2
blue by 4.7
18.90.2
9.59.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Second
1940
#30
9.80.3
9.49.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End2.4
blue by 7.8
226
#11
17.60.2
16.216.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End6.8
Third
6128
#26
8.60.3
8.08.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End3.0
blue by 4.0
2959
#24
12.60.2
12.312.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed