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Red42
59279.7
362025.9
61288.6
Blue33
295912.6
12547.0
505611.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48300204060804233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.0
23.423.3
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End7.7
red by 13.4
2959
#24
12.60.1
10.810.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Second
5927
#29
9.70.0
10.010.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
blue by 1.6
5056
#22
11.40.1
12.312.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End4.1
Third
6128
#26
8.60.0
9.08.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End3.0
red by 1.6
1254
#28
7.00.1
7.17.0
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed