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Red41
22617.6
719513.8
24411.1
Blue61
553518.9
205421.0
658810.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060801001204161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#11
17.60.2
17.717.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End6.8
blue by 3.3
21.02.2
18.720.8
Auto7.1
Teleop6.2
End7.7
Second
7195
#10
13.80.2
11.511.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End5.9
blue by 5.1
18.92.2
15.617.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Third
244
#18
11.10.1
9.910.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
red by 0.9
6588
#15
10.22.2
7.39.5
Auto1.5
Teleop3.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned