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Red54
553518.9
423714.7
34529.9
Blue13
658810.2
51108.3
72102.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481904060805413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.9
17.718.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
red by 8.7
6588
#15
10.20.9
9.48.5
Auto1.5
Teleop3.3
End5.4
Second
4237
#12
14.70.9
14.415.2
Auto6.5
Teleop3.5
End4.7
red by 6.3
5110
#19
8.30.9
9.58.6
Auto1.9
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Third
3452
#21
9.90.9
9.610.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End4.9
red by 7.3
7210
#31
2.60.9
2.92.0
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed