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Red16
9049.8
72102.6
12547.0
Blue22
400323.9
78146.6
423714.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303701020506070801622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#25
9.81.4
11.09.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End3.9
blue by 14.1
23.91.3
13.712.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Second
1254
#28
7.01.4
9.78.3
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End3.8
blue by 7.7
4237
#12
14.71.3
12.711.4
Auto6.5
Teleop3.5
End4.7
Third
7210
#31
2.61.4
8.26.8
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 4.0
7814
#16
6.61.3
7.25.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed