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Red49
205421.0
561014.2
61148.2
Blue53
658810.2
78146.6
276735.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42512060801004953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.8
20.020.9
Auto7.1
Teleop6.2
End7.7
blue by 14.7
35.70.6
32.132.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End13.3
Second
5610
#13
14.20.8
12.112.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End5.2
red by 4.0
6588
#15
10.20.6
8.59.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.3
End5.4
Third
6114
#23
8.20.8
8.79.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End3.3
red by 1.6
7814
#16
6.60.6
6.47.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsEarned