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Red38
423714.7
505611.4
61148.2
Blue61
561014.2
34529.9
362025.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355602040801003861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#12
14.70.5
14.113.6
Auto6.5
Teleop3.5
End4.7
blue by 11.3
25.90.6
25.626.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End7.7
Second
5056
#22
11.40.5
12.211.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End4.1
blue by 2.8
5610
#13
14.20.6
12.913.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End5.2
Third
6114
#23
8.20.5
9.08.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End3.3
blue by 1.7
3452
#21
9.90.6
11.512.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsEarned