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Red40
21613.1
598012.3
51108.3
Blue33
24411.1
295912.6
61288.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35331020304050604033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#17
13.10.2
13.013.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End4.3
red by 0.5
2959
#24
12.60.2
12.212.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Second
5980
#20
12.30.3
11.812.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End2.5
red by 1.3
244
#18
11.10.1
10.610.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Third
5110
#19
8.30.3
7.98.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 0.2
6128
#26
8.60.2
8.38.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed