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Red67
423714.7
432516.0
22617.6
Blue23
34529.9
295912.6
78146.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46290102040506070806723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#11
17.62.0
16.418.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End6.8
red by 5.0
2959
#24
12.60.7
12.511.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Second
16.02.0
13.315.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End8.4
red by 6.1
3452
#21
9.90.7
10.710.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End4.9
Third
4237
#12
14.72.0
11.413.4
Auto6.5
Teleop3.5
End4.7
red by 8.0
7814
#16
6.60.7
5.95.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsEarned