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Red0
6750.6
2758.3
438419.5
Blue99
546041.1
233741.8
719214.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140100050150200099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1DQ
58.30.2
57.657.8
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End13.8
red by 16.6
41.80.3
42.442.1
Auto13.6
Teleop20.0
End8.2
Second
67
#2DQ
50.60.2
49.950.1
Auto13.0
Teleop24.0
End13.6
red by 9.4
41.10.3
41.741.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.6
End8.8
Third
4384
#14DQ
19.50.2
18.819.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End5.8
red by 5.3
7192
#21
14.20.3
14.814.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End5.5