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Red73
91022.9
233741.8
309611.2
Blue81
505318.8
835217.1
5132.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62572040801001207381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.8
30.130.8
Auto13.6
Teleop20.0
End8.2
red by 9.5
51
#12
32.21.8
18.520.3
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End9.5
Second
910
#22
22.90.8
17.718.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End6.5
red by 4.1
5053
#16
18.81.8
18.920.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Third
3096
#28
11.20.8
9.410.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End1.6
blue by 5.9
8352
#25
17.11.8
16.618.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned