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Red56
56428.1
438419.5
125017.3
Blue79
233741.8
36325.4
267312.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33530204060801005679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#14
19.51.2
16.217.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End5.8
blue by 22.2
41.82.1
31.233.3
Auto13.6
Teleop20.0
End8.2
Second
1250
#31
17.31.2
15.316.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End3.8
red by 4.6
2673
#29
12.72.1
10.512.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.7
Third
5642
#32
8.11.2
2.23.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 2.7
3632
#39
5.42.1
5.47.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned