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Red74
222410.9
22624.2
776921.8
Blue86
353434.5
546041.1
656616.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528901001507486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#10
24.21.4
22.423.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End9.7
blue by 17.0
41.10.2
37.237.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.6
End8.8
Second
7769
#15
21.81.4
22.223.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.6
End6.5
blue by 12.7
34.50.2
26.126.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End13.4
Third
2224
#17
10.91.4
8.810.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 5.2
6566
#24
16.10.2
15.315.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsMissed