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Red86
546041.1
485410.5
691417.3
Blue60
653213.2
547812.0
353434.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6654204060801001208660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.2
37.939.1
Auto10.8
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 6.6
34.50.0
28.328.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End13.4
Second
6914
#11
17.31.9
13.315.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End10.9
red by 4.1
6532
#23
13.20.0
14.414.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Third
4854
#26
10.51.2
9.410.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.3
blue by 1.5
5478
#37
12.00.0
9.99.9
Auto6.4
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed