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Red26
267312.7
55326.0
505318.8
Blue60
32211.9
776921.8
485410.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43482060801002660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#16
18.81.0
20.219.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 3.0
7769
#15
21.80.7
25.826.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.6
End6.5
Second
2673
#29
12.71.0
14.013.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.7
red by 0.8
322
#36
11.90.7
8.49.1
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Third
5532
#33
6.01.0
6.95.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.2
End3.0
blue by 4.5
4854
#26
10.50.7
10.611.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed