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Red42
36325.4
148120.5
33029.7
Blue44
438419.5
222410.9
719214.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35500204060801004244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#18
20.50.5
21.822.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End6.5
red by 1.0
4384
#14
19.50.1
19.419.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End5.8
Second
3302
#30
9.70.5
7.37.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End1.2
blue by 4.5
7192
#21
14.20.1
13.513.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End5.5
Third
3632
#39
5.40.5
6.06.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End1.7
blue by 5.5
2224
#17
10.90.1
12.412.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed