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Red86
309611.2
546041.1
438419.5
Blue113
2758.3
656616.1
102522.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710840608010012014016086113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.9
38.839.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.6
End8.8
blue by 17.2
27
#1
58.30.6
58.959.5
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End13.8
Second
4384
#14
19.50.9
19.320.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End5.8
blue by 2.5
22.10.6
21.922.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.4
End4.8
Third
3096
#28
11.20.9
10.211.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End1.6
blue by 4.9
6566
#24
16.10.6
15.516.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned