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Red61
376721.3
552516.8
55048.2
Blue51
522413.5
554711.5
132212.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42391020305060706151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.5
19.019.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 7.8
5224
#14
13.50.3
13.313.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Second
16.80.5
14.515.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End10.3
red by 3.9
1322
#21
12.90.3
12.612.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End6.4
Third
5504
#24
8.20.5
5.96.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 3.3
5547
#11
11.50.3
11.311.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End2.3