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Red64
353715.0
531419.9
664213.5
Blue62
779016.3
608716.2
612113.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060706462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.3
18.819.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End7.6
red by 3.6
7790
#12
16.30.3
16.016.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End6.3
Second
15.00.3
13.914.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
blue by 1.1
16.20.3
15.916.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
6642
#26
13.50.3
12.412.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End4.3
blue by 0.4
6121
#19
13.90.3
13.713.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9