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Red38
368817.8
86117.2
353715.0
Blue65
609712.1
51109.0
171131.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33540204060801003865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.3
15.916.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End4.0
blue by 13.9
31.70.9
24.825.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End14.8
Second
15.00.3
14.414.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
red by 3.0
6097
#27
12.10.9
14.915.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Third
8611
#20
7.20.3
3.63.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.4
blue by 1.8
5110
#23
9.00.9
8.29.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned