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Red45
43987.6
132212.9
437717.1
Blue55
376721.3
224612.5
361818.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060801004555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.8
15.616.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End7.2
blue by 4.2
21.30.8
19.120.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Second
1322
#21
12.90.8
9.410.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End6.4
blue by 5.1
3618
#13
18.00.8
13.514.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End7.6
Third
4398
#31
7.61.3
8.29.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End3.0
blue by 4.9
2246
#10
12.50.8
9.810.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed