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Red44
376721.3
78238.7
78555.3
Blue29
664213.5
65524.8
43987.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34220103040506070804429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.9
19.820.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 7.8
6642
#26
13.50.2
10.410.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End4.3
Second
7823
#17
8.70.9
6.17.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.7
red by 1.1
4398
#31
7.60.3
8.58.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End3.0
Third
7855
#29
5.30.9
4.55.4
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End2.7
red by 0.6
6552
#30
4.80.2
3.33.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed