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Red25
65524.8
498313.6
779016.3
Blue22
78555.3
52038.8
804111.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922010405060702522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#12
16.30.1
11.010.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End6.3
red by 4.8
8041
#18
11.50.0
7.87.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End4.8
Second
4983
#16
13.60.1
11.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 4.8
5203
#33
8.80.0
8.78.7
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
6552
#30
4.80.1
3.53.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.3
End1.5
blue by 0.6
7855
#29
5.30.0
5.45.4
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed