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Red49
522413.5
531419.9
600514.8
Blue38
608716.2
132212.9
376721.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3854102030607080904938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.7
16.917.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End7.6
blue by 1.4
21.30.7
20.720.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Second
6005
#15
14.80.7
9.610.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End4.0
blue by 1.4
16.20.7
15.214.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
5224
#14
13.50.7
11.512.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.5
red by 0.6
1322
#21
12.90.7
12.511.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed