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Red57
498313.6
171131.7
353715.0
Blue38
522413.5
69638.4
612113.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622802040801005738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.3
28.328.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End14.8
red by 17.7
6121
#19DQ
13.90.0
13.012.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Second
15.00.3
13.513.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
red by 1.5
5224
#14
13.50.0
12.712.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Third
4983
#16
13.60.3
11.911.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 5.2
6963
#25
8.40.0
5.05.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed