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Red18
804111.5
51833.9
43987.6
Blue6
78555.3
86117.2
52476.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22200103040506070186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8041
#18
11.50.1
8.68.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End4.8
red by 4.3
8611
#20
7.20.9
5.34.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.4
Second
4398
#31
7.60.2
7.87.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End3.0
red by 0.8
5247
#28
6.70.9
7.26.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End3.9
Third
5183
#35
3.90.1
3.83.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 1.4
7855
#29
5.30.9
6.35.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed