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Red49
498313.6
368817.8
612113.9
Blue35
65337.5
437717.1
52038.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45340204060801004935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.5
16.216.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End4.0
red by 0.8
17.10.1
16.917.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End7.2
Second
6121
#19
13.90.5
12.913.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 5.2
5203
#33
8.80.1
9.49.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
4983
#16
13.60.5
11.712.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 6.2
6533
#32
7.50.1
6.87.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed