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Red64
353715.0
437717.1
554711.5
Blue18
609712.1
77945.8
78555.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482504060801006418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.1
17.116.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End7.2
red by 5.0
6097
#27
12.10.5
13.613.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
15.00.1
12.812.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
red by 9.2
7794
#36DQ
5.80.5
6.96.3
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End3.6
Third
5547
#11
11.50.1
12.011.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End2.3
red by 6.2
7855
#29
5.30.5
5.55.0
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed