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Red32
224612.5
55048.2
804111.5
Blue34
376721.3
522413.5
86117.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264402060801003234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
#10
12.50.3
12.012.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End5.3
blue by 8.8
21.30.3
18.818.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Second
8041
#18
11.50.3
9.810.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End4.8
blue by 2.0
5224
#14
13.50.3
14.213.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Third
5504
#24
8.20.3
4.95.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End4.4
red by 1.0
8611
#20
7.20.3
5.95.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed