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Red33
78238.7
498313.6
55048.2
Blue27
71559.5
224612.5
132212.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263902060803327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4983
#16
13.60.4
12.913.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 0.8
1322
#21
12.90.6
12.812.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End6.4
Second
7823
#17
8.70.4
8.28.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.7
blue by 3.8
2246
#10
12.50.6
12.411.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End5.3
Third
5504
#24
8.20.4
5.25.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 1.3
7155
#22
9.50.6
10.19.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed