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Red65
376721.3
552516.8
55048.2
Blue61
353715.0
531419.9
664213.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060801001206561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.4
20.320.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 1.4
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End7.6
Second
16.80.4
15.816.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End10.3
red by 1.7
15.00.3
14.715.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
Third
5504
#24
8.20.4
7.27.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 5.3
6642
#26
13.50.3
13.213.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End4.3