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Red74
550526.8
717827.3
553811.0
Blue44
755323.1
722519.2
842615.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65644550556070757444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.2
25.926.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End10.7
red by 4.3
7553
#20
23.10.4
23.923.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End9.0
Second
26.80.2
25.425.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End10.5
red by 7.6
19.20.4
20.119.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
5538
#22
11.00.2
9.69.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End4.7
blue by 4.2
8426
#23
15.30.4
16.115.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.9