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Red36
83612.6
30226.7
609110.2
Blue40
121.2
842615.3
77849.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40390102030506070803640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
26.70.4
23.823.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.3
red by 5.5
1
#4
21.20.0
13.613.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End10.5
Second
6091
#24
10.20.4
10.19.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End4.4
blue by 5.1
8426
#23
15.30.0
17.117.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.9
Third
8361
#39
2.60.4
3.63.2
Auto0.9
Teleop0.3
End1.5
blue by 6.7
7784
#15
9.30.0
5.85.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned