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Red95
608514.8
717827.3
833242.1
Blue53
75988.8
776931.1
887315.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61542040801009553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.12.3
34.036.2
Auto12.9
Teleop18.8
End10.3
red by 11.0
31.10.1
22.822.9
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End7.9
Second
27.32.3
13.916.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End10.7
red by 12.2
8873
#18
15.10.1
16.116.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Third
6085
#14
14.82.3
8.811.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.6
red by 6.0
7598
#28
8.80.1
12.412.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed