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Red42
612014.4
608514.8
755323.1
Blue85
364133.8
722519.2
516724.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47572030407080901004285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7553
#20
23.10.2
20.520.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End9.0
blue by 10.7
33.82.2
19.421.6
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End8.0
Second
6085
#14
14.80.2
11.110.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.6
blue by 10.0
24.82.2
13.916.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End6.3
Third
6120
#27
14.40.2
13.613.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 4.7
19.22.4
19.021.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned