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Red82
522912.7
833242.1
364133.8
Blue38
77163.8
569511.7
550526.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8643020601001201401608238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.2
35.936.1
Auto12.9
Teleop18.8
End10.3
red by 15.3
26.80.8
26.425.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End10.5
Second
33.80.2
28.428.6
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End8.0
red by 22.1
5695
#26
11.70.8
14.914.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Third
5229
#16
12.70.2
10.710.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.3
red by 9.0
7716
#40
3.80.8
4.73.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed