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Red71
309816.5
516724.8
77163.8
Blue40
30822.0
9410.9
88549.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060807140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.82.3
18.821.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End6.3
red by 2.8
308
#12
22.00.4
20.420.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End9.3
Second
3098
#13
16.52.3
14.216.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End4.4
red by 5.6
94
#25
10.90.4
6.77.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End5.5
Third
7716
#40
3.82.3
3.96.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 5.5
8854
#29
9.20.4
6.56.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned