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Red68
499422.1
522912.7
30226.7
Blue53
78563.5
364133.8
609110.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6244020801006853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
26.70.8
24.925.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.3
blue by 7.1
33.80.6
28.629.2
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End8.0
Second
22.10.8
20.020.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End14.5
red by 11.9
6091
#24
10.20.6
12.413.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Third
5229
#16
12.70.8
10.911.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.3
red by 9.2
7856
#41
3.50.6
2.63.2
Auto1.7
Teleop0.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed