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Red41
77849.3
550526.8
52309.8
Blue25
77163.8
887315.1
755323.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494430406070804125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.3
26.726.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End10.5
red by 3.8
7553
#20
23.11.1
19.818.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End9.0
Second
5230
#21
9.80.3
11.411.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 5.4
8873
#18
15.11.1
16.014.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Third
7784
#15
9.30.3
7.47.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.9
End5.0
red by 5.5
7716
#40
3.81.1
6.25.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed