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Red53
87677.2
776931.1
842615.3
Blue56
30226.7
728915.9
50489.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575130407080905356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
28.428.5
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End7.9
red by 4.4
302
#11
26.70.5
25.826.2
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.3
Second
8426
#23
15.30.0
16.616.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.9
blue by 0.6
7289
#17
15.90.5
12.913.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End6.0
Third
8767
#38
7.20.0
7.87.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End2.7
blue by 2.0
5048
#37
9.20.5
10.110.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed