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Red58
842615.3
612014.4
550526.8
Blue87
776931.1
121.2
309816.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58692040801001201405887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.1
25.125.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End10.5
blue by 4.3
31.11.3
28.529.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End7.9
Second
8426
#23
15.30.1
16.616.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.9
blue by 5.9
1
#4
21.21.3
19.721.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End10.5
Third
6120
#27
14.40.1
14.114.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 2.0
3098
#13
16.51.3
15.416.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsEarned