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Red58
364133.8
52309.8
553811.0
Blue50
506615.8
499422.1
553310.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5443203050607080905850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.6
30.931.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End8.0
red by 11.7
22.10.3
21.321.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End14.5
Second
5538
#22
11.00.6
8.28.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End4.7
blue by 4.8
5066
#19
15.80.3
13.113.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.7
Third
5230
#21
9.80.6
9.910.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 0.2
5533
#34
10.00.3
7.47.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned