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Red59
569511.7
717827.3
528211.1
Blue90
364133.8
499422.1
550526.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458902060801001201405990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.2
24.825.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End10.7
blue by 6.5
33.80.8
31.532.2
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End8.0
Second
5695
#26
11.70.2
12.512.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 15.2
26.80.8
25.326.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End10.5
Third
5282
#35
11.10.2
10.610.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End3.9
blue by 11.0
22.10.8
21.622.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned